{"id":48847,"date":"2023-07-06T13:48:13","date_gmt":"2023-07-06T12:48:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/?p=48847"},"modified":"2023-07-06T13:48:13","modified_gmt":"2023-07-06T12:48:13","slug":"imo-mepc-shipping-talks-climate-2030-2040-targets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2023\/07\/06\/imo-mepc-shipping-talks-climate-2030-2040-targets\/","title":{"rendered":"Governments set to fail to plot shipping industry course for 1.5C"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A campaign by climate-vulnerable Pacific islands to raise governments&#8217; ambition on emissions-cutting for the global shipping industry looks set to fail at talks in London.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>With just over a day of negotiations left at the International Maritime Organisation&#8217;s (IMO), the latest draft strategy does not significantly improve on targets that were branded &#8220;not ambitious enough&#8221; and &#8220;devastating&#8221; when they were first proposed on Monday.<\/p>\n<p>Vanuatu&#8217;s climate minister Ralph Regenvanu told Climate Home at the time that he and counterparts from other Pacific island nations were &#8220;going to fight&#8221; to improve targets to reduce emissions on 2008 levels by 20% by 2030 and 70% by 2040.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s what we\u2019re here for, we\u2019re here to lobby\u201d, he said, hours after the talks&#8217; chair drew up the roadmap after listening to governments debate the strategy behind-closed-doors the week before.<\/p>\n<h3>No improvement<\/h3>\n<p>But a new draft strategy was released this morning which did not substantially improve on those goals. The only increase in ambition was that additional targets to &#8220;striv[e]&#8221; for 25% by 2030 and 75% by 2040 were made a more definite part of the draft strategy.<\/p>\n<p>The document has yet to be made public so negotiators and campaigners have not commented. But the 2030 and 2040 targets were slammed on Monday with Australia&#8217;s negotiator labelling them &#8220;not ambitious enough&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>Shipping contributes to around 3% of global greenhouse gas emissions.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2023\/07\/05\/identifying-loss-and-damage-definition-war\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Identifying loss and damage<\/strong> is tough \u2013 we need a pragmatic but science-based approach<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The Marshall Islands negotiator Albon Ishoda told journalists that \u201cthe science already told us\u201d that \u201canything less than 36% by 2030 and 96% by 2040 will be detrimental\u201d to limiting global warming to 1.5C and that will \u201chave a devastating impact\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The targets Ishoda called for have also been supported by the USA and UK and <a href=\"https:\/\/sciencebasedtargets.org\/news\/sbti-launches-world-first-roadmap-for-net-zero-shipping-by-2040\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">stem from<\/a> what the Science-Based Targets Initiative judged compatible with limiting global warming to 1.5C.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Six main proposals for new shipping GHG targets on deck <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/IMOHQ?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@IMOHQ<\/a> this week&#8230; China leading charge against as apparently tougher targets in line with 1.5C would undermine UN <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/climate?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#climate<\/a> talks. Work that one out. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/2D7fcCbLyd\">pic.twitter.com\/2D7fcCbLyd<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ed King (@edking_I) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/edking_I\/status\/1675517487889231874?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">July 2, 2023<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The European Union called for slightly less ambitious figures of 29% and 83% while sources involved in last week\u2019s closed talks, said some countries like China, South Africa and Saudi Arabia didn\u2019t want 2030 or 2040 targets at all.<\/p>\n<p>China&#8217;s negotiator argued in open talks on Monday that the targets should be &#8220;practical, reasonable and feasible&#8221; and their impact should be assessed. He described trade and development, as well as climate, as &#8220;existential&#8221; issues.<\/p>\n<h3>Close to 2050<\/h3>\n<p>A debate over whether to target net zero &#8220;by&#8221; or &#8220;by or around&#8221; 2050 is set to be resolved with a compromise leaning more towards the weaker option. The new draft proposes targeting net zero &#8220;by or around, ie close to 2050, taking into account different national circumstances&#8221;.<\/p>\n<p>In their speeches to the International Maritime Organisation (IMO) talks this week, the \u201c2050 at the latest\u201d goal was supported mainly by Pacific islands and developed countries.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2023\/07\/06\/developing-countries-uk-breaking-climate-finance-pledge\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\"><strong>Developing nations<\/strong> decry risk of UK breaking climate finance pledge<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>The UK\u2019s negotiator said 2050 should be \u201cthe absolute latest\u201d and that the targets should be \u201cin terms that can not be misunderstood\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, several big developing countries like China, Indonesia and Saudi Arabia called for the weaker \u201caround 2050\u201d target and the inclusion of language about \u201cdifferent national circumstances\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The draft deal contains a target to get \u201czero or near-zero\u201d fuel sources to represent at least 5% of the energy used by international shipping by 2030, while pledging to &#8220;striv[e]&#8221; for 10%.<\/p>\n<p>Shipping is currently powered almost completely by fossil fuels. According to the\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/international-shipping\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">International Energy Agency (IEA)<\/a>, \u201clow-carbon fuels\u201d represent near to 0% of shipping fuel.<\/p>\n<p>A controversial proposal to put a tax on ships&#8217; emissions is included in the draft document, although that would just mean it is considered in the coming years.<\/p>\n<h3>Not a done deal<\/h3>\n<p>Although the document is understood to have been agreed by major economies like the US, EU and China, it is not a done deal yet.<\/p>\n<p>Any country can call for a vote on any aspect of the agreement and change it with the support of more than half of the nations.<\/p>\n<p>In the IMO, governments are often unwilling to do this. But Vanuatu&#8217;s Regenvanu said on Monday that he and others would think about calling a vote if a \u201cminority group of countries\u201d were going to stop a \u201chigh ambition outcome\u201d against the will of an \u201coverwhelming majority, and I mean like two-thirds\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>The document will be debated in talks, which are closed to the media, on Thursday afternoon.\u00a0 It will then be discussed publicly by governments on Friday when talks are set to end.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Despite a strong push from Pacific islands, the latest draft does not improve on targets criticised as not ambitious enough","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":48850,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[67],"tags":[703,4200],"coauthors":[4545],"class_list":["post-48847","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-shipping","tag-pacific-islands","tag-shipping","type-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Governments set to fail to plot shipping industry course for 1.5C<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Despite a strong push from Pacific islands, the latest draft does not improve on targets criticised as not ambitious enough\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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