{"id":48206,"date":"2023-03-14T12:51:56","date_gmt":"2023-03-14T12:51:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/?p=48206"},"modified":"2023-03-16T10:15:55","modified_gmt":"2023-03-16T10:15:55","slug":"chinese-coal-boom-a-direct-threat-to-1-5c-goal-analysts-warn","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2023\/03\/14\/chinese-coal-boom-a-direct-threat-to-1-5c-goal-analysts-warn\/","title":{"rendered":"Chinese coal boom a &#8216;direct threat&#8217; to 1.5C goal, analysts warn"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>A boom in China\u2019s coal power generation is derailing global efforts to limit global heating to 1.5C, analysts have warned.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Concerns were raised because Beijing rapidly accelerated plans for new coal power plants in the second half of last year in a bid to increase its energy security.<\/p>\n<p>According to a report by think-tank E3G, published today, China\u2019s coal project pipeline <a href=\"https:\/\/www.e3g.org\/publications\/world-drives-forward-on-no-new-coal-but-china-takes-a-detour\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">grew<\/a> by nearly 50% in the last six months of 2022 taking the total to 250GW. It says developments in China diverge sharply from the rest of the world, where combined coal power plans shrank to 97GW over the same period &#8211; the lowest level in modern history.<\/p>\n<p>China is still a global leader in the rollout of renewable energy. The country is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/data-and-statistics\/charts\/annual-average-capacity-additions-by-country-and-region-2016-2023\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">adding<\/a> clean energy projects to the grid almost as fast as the rest of the world combined.<\/p>\n<p>But Leo Roberts from E3G\u2019s coal transition programme believes China\u2019s coal expansion is a \u201cdirect threat\u201d to the Paris Agreement goal.<\/p>\n<h3>Increasing scale of the challenge<\/h3>\n<p>In 2015, nations agreed to pursue efforts to limit global temperature increase to 1.5\u00b0C above pre-industrial levels. Crossing that threshold would make climate impacts increasingly harmful to people and the entire planet.<\/p>\n<p>The International Energy Agency (IEA) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/phasing-out-unabated-coal-current-status-and-three-case-studies\/executive-summary\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">says<\/a> no new unabated coal-fired power stations can be built if the world wants to reach that goal.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEvery new coal power station that comes online increases the scale of the challenge to decarbonise the global economy,\u201d Roberts told Climate Home News. \u201cChina\u2019s coal boom is actually undermining significant progress away from coal in all other parts of the world.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The rapid expansion of China\u2019s coal power plans comes as Beijing seeks to strengthen its energy security. Geopolitical tensions affecting global energy prices and domestic supply issues have made policymakers reconsider previous intentions.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2022\/03\/24\/after-blackouts-chinas-green-goals-take-back-seat-to-energy-security\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">After blackouts, China\u2019s green goals take back seat to energy security<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>At a climate summit in April 2021, China&#8217;s president Xi Jinping <a href=\"http:\/\/www.xinhuanet.com\/english\/2021-04\/22\/c_139899289.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">vowed<\/a> the country would \u201cstrictly control coal-fired power generation projects, and strictly limit the increase in coal consumption\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>At the time his words mirrored the central government\u2019s successful attempts to curb new coal projects. E3G analysis shows that new coal power proposals in China collapsed by 75% between 2015 and July 2022.<\/p>\n<h3>China&#8217;s rapid U-turn<\/h3>\n<p>The recent coal boom has reversed this trend and China is now a clear international outlier. It currently accounts for 72% of total global planned coal capacity, with India, Turkey and Indonesia following far behind.<\/p>\n<p><iframe id=\"datawrapper-chart-UuwQ0\" style=\"width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;\" title=\"\u00a0China accounts for nearly three-quarters of the world\u2019s planned coal capacity\" src=\"https:\/\/datawrapper.dwcdn.net\/UuwQ0\/1\/\" height=\"262\" frameborder=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" aria-label=\"Bar Chart\" data-external=\"1\"><\/iframe><script type=\"text\/javascript\">!function(){\"use strict\";window.addEventListener(\"message\",(function(a){if(void 0!==a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"]){var e=document.querySelectorAll(\"iframe\");for(var t in a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"])for(var r=0;r<e.length;r++)if(e[r].contentWindow===a.source){var i=a.data[\"datawrapper-height\"][t]+\"px\";e[r].style.height=i}}}))}();\n<\/script><\/p>\n<p>The aim of China\u2019s coal push is to prevent a repeat of the power outages that affected homes and industries last year. Heatwaves increased electricity demand for cooling, while drying up water reservoirs necessary for hydropower generation in the country\u2019s southwestern provinces.<\/p>\n<p>Meteorological agencies predict another round of record high temperatures and more droughts this year.<\/p>\n<h3>Preventing power outages<\/h3>\n<p>Many of the new coal-fired power plants are expected to meet peak summer demand driven by energy-hungry air conditioners, which last year resulted in the highest recorded momentary load.<\/p>\n<p>Lauri Myllyvirta, a lead analyst at the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA), says solar energy is able to tackle daytime power needs, but meeting night-time peak demand requires a more nuanced approach.<\/p>\n<p>Still, he believes betting on coal is a suboptimal and costly strategy. \u201cBuilding coal power capacity to cover peak demand just some days or weeks per year is very expensive. There is still a lot of potential to deal with peak loads with better grid management.\"<\/p>\n<p>E3G\u2019s Roberts said it looks as if the Chinese government\u2019s claim that it is new building coal capacity to support peak demand is being used as a cover to push through projects. \u201cThe reality is that most of the permits handed to new coal power stations would allow them to provide baseload power, which slows down the transition from coal-to-clean.\"<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Energy security fears prompted Beijing to rapidly accelerate coal power plans last year, raising concerns about the country&#8217;s impact on greenhouse gas emissions","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":48207,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[4247,72,598],"tags":[2625,3917,73],"coauthors":[4974,4785],"class_list":["post-48206","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-1-5c","category-china","category-fossil-fuels","tag-1-5c","tag-china","tag-coal","type-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Chinese coal boom a &#039;direct threat&#039; 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