{"id":32411,"date":"2016-12-13T10:38:15","date_gmt":"2016-12-13T10:38:15","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/?p=32411"},"modified":"2016-12-13T14:45:47","modified_gmt":"2016-12-13T14:45:47","slug":"risky-business-g20-panel-to-order-climate-stress-tests","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2016\/12\/13\/risky-business-g20-panel-to-order-climate-stress-tests\/","title":{"rendered":"Risky business: G20 panel to order climate stress tests"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Does you have a plan if the world moves rapidly away from oil, gas and coal? How will you be affected by increased extreme weather? What\u2019s your exposure?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>CEOs of major corporations may not have the answers to these questions now, but by 2017 they will be expected to do so under radical &#8211; if voluntary &#8211; plans to be announced on Wednesday.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s when a G20-mandated panel of experts chaired by Bank of England governor Mark Carney will publish guidelines on how it wants business to tackle climate risk.<\/p>\n<p>It may have a dull name, but the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fsb-tcfd.org\/\" target=\"_blank\">Financial Stability Board\u2019s Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosure<\/a> could deliver one of the strongest signals yet to business that climate change matters.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe think companies will pay more attention to this,\u201d an analyst with a major consulting group told Climate Home on Monday, alluding to previous demands for risk disclosure from green groups.<\/p>\n<p>One member of the 31-strong panel confirmed to Climate Home that companies would be asked to use the 2C warming limit outlined in the Paris climate deal as a benchmark.<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/newsletter-sign-up\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Weekly briefing:<\/strong>\u00a0Sign up for your essential climate politics update<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Two other panellists &#8211; Mike Wilkins from ratings giant S&amp;P and Jon Williams from consultancy PwC &#8211; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2016-12-10\/carney-panel-set-to-demand-climate-risk-scenarios-from-companies\" target=\"_blank\">told Bloomberg<\/a> that development of long term scenarios around 2C would be a recommendation.<\/p>\n<p>That means they\u2019ll need to explain how targeted greenhouse gas cuts will impact their bottom line: a painful reality check for many companies with large oil, gas and coal investments.<\/p>\n<p>Exxon Mobil is already <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2015\/11\/06\/exxon-mobil-faces-legal-inquiry-on-climate-misinformation\/\" target=\"_blank\">fighting claims<\/a> from New York\u2019s attorney general it misled investors over the company\u2019s future profits in a carbon-cutting world.<\/p>\n<p>Coal giant Peabody faced a similar suit in 2015, and perhaps for good reason. While these companies make bullish projections, major banks seem less sure of\u00a0their prospects.<\/p>\n<p>A 2015 report from Barclays said the fossil fuel sector could lose US$34 trillion in revenues by 2040 if countries implement the Paris climate deal, with oil companies accounting for $22.4trn of that total.<\/p>\n<p>Earlier this year, leading fund manager Blackrock issued an <a href=\"https:\/\/www.blackrock.com\/investing\/literature\/whitepaper\/bii-climate-change-2016-us.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">equally bleak projection for coal\u2019s future<\/a>, warning \u201cinvestors can no longer ignore climate change\u201d.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">ICYMI, IEA cuts coal demand forecast for fifth year in a row: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/MGuaMJFLCl\">https:\/\/t.co\/MGuaMJFLCl<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/ASs7t8drYg\">pic.twitter.com\/ASs7t8drYg<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Climate Home News (@ClimateHome) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateHome\/status\/808598488997040128?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 13, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>While the FSB study is firmly under wraps till Wednesday, it\u2019s possible to glean an outline of its key aspects from what task force members have said recently.<\/p>\n<p>Steve Waygood, chief responsible investment officer at Aviva Investors, wants a sector-by-sector approach where physical, liability and transition risk for investors, lenders and insurers are disclosed.<\/p>\n<p>In a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aviva.com\/media\/thought-leadership\/money-talks-how-finance-can-further-sustainable-development-goal\/\" target=\"_blank\">report<\/a> launched at last month\u2019s COP22 UN climate summit, Waygood and Stephanie Maier, Aviva\u2019s head of strategy and research, argue investors urgently need more information.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe believe asset owners should ask for information on how their asset managers integrate climate risk into their investment process across all asset classes, including security selection, portfolio construction, and portfolio risk management,\u201d they say.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe world\u2019s institutional investment community has a financial interest, as well as a fiduciary and moral duty to future generations to promote a rapid yet well managed transition to a net zero climate economy.\u201d<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2014\/01\/16\/fund-managers-who-ignore-climate-risks-breaching-fiduciary-duty\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Report:\u00a0<\/strong>Fund managers who ignore climate risk breaching \u2018fiduciary duty\u2019<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>What\u2019s important is that businesses can demonstrate they understand the challenges posed in a world with tougher climate policies and hotter temperatures, says Stephanie Pfeifer.<\/p>\n<p>CEO of the Institutional Investor\u2019s Group on Climate Change, Pfeifer represents 130 companies accounting for $14 trillion and has long championed more rigorous disclosure rules.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Failing to address climate change presents huge systemic risks to the global economy and financial stability,\u201d she told Climate Home.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat is why European investors have keenly\u00a0supported the work of the Task Force on Climate Disclosures and will welcome &#8211; and scrutinise &#8211;\u00a0its proposed four-fold framework for standardised forward-looking quantitative and qualitative corporate climate disclosures\u00a0related to governance, strategy, risk management and targets.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Risks Pfeifer wants companies to reveal every year as part of their annual accounts include the dangers their supply chains face from extreme weather.<\/p>\n<p>For instance, this year\u2019s sustained drought in Pakistan and parts of India sent cotton prices to a decade high, forcing the countries to import supplies and raising costs for clothing suppliers.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Who says nothing good happened in 2016? US solar power smashes records: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/oRbKc8IIK9\">https:\/\/t.co\/oRbKc8IIK9<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/YYMsKu3u9y\">pic.twitter.com\/YYMsKu3u9y<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Climate Home News (@ClimateHome) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateHome\/status\/808594616668852224?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 13, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>While coming clean doesn&#8217;t guarantee businesses will cut their carbon footprint, having these costs detailed on the annual accounts will force boards to \u201cpay more attention\u201d to climate risk, says Paul Simpson, CEO of CDP, an organisation that promotes climate disclosure.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMy view is that many companies do it voluntarily, but that the FSB will catalyse this and assist more to do this,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cIf you\u2019re an investor you want to know the risks and opportunities in a portfolio \u2013 people are trying to work out how this will change in the future \u2013 and the Paris climate deal is a plausible scenario.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The impacts of the FSB report will take time to filter through the market: for one thing, there\u2019s a 60-day consultation period ahead of the 2017 G20 meeting where it is to be formally signed off.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s also the matter of US president-elect Donald Trump and his dislike for rules that might be perceived as placing an added regulatory burden on business.<\/p>\n<p>But the signs are Germany has made this initiative and climate change more broadly a priority for the July meeting in Hamburg, raising the political stakes further.<\/p>\n<p>And business seems onside. Julian Poulter, CEO of the Asset Owners Disclosure Project \u2013 another group focused on climate risk \u2013 believes the FSB report will be generally welcomed.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThere comes a point where you realise the writing is on wall\u2026 if there is a sense of inevitability that the train is leaving then people will come on board,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAnd the great thing about financial risk is that it\u2019s apolitical in theory\u2026 it would have been a great way to look at this issue in the US.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Donald Trump&#8217;s US election win may damage the Paris climate deal, but climate risk reporting rules for businesses could radically change the investment landscape","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":21420,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[3863,3650],"tags":[],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-32411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-finance","category-green-bonds","type-analysis"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Risky business: G20 panel to order climate stress tests<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Donald Trump&#039;s US election win may damage the Paris climate deal, but climate risk reporting rules for businesses could radically change the investment landscape\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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