{"id":20278,"date":"2014-12-18T14:46:59","date_gmt":"2014-12-18T14:46:59","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.rtcc.org\/?p=20278"},"modified":"2014-12-18T14:46:59","modified_gmt":"2014-12-18T14:46:59","slug":"rise-in-weather-extremes-linked-to-climate-change-say-scientists","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2014\/12\/18\/rise-in-weather-extremes-linked-to-climate-change-say-scientists\/","title":{"rendered":"Rise in weather extremes linked to climate change, say scientists"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #888888;\"><strong>Lethal heat waves, ice storms and big freezes could become regular events if greenhouse gas emissions are not controlled<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_20279\" style=\"width: 810px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-20279\" class=\"size-full wp-image-20279\" alt=\"Flooded neighbourhood in the US state of Minnesota (Pic: DVIDSHUB\/Flickr)\" src=\"http:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/files\/2014\/12\/Flooded_house_DVIDSHUB_800.jpg\" width=\"800\" height=\"450\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.climatechangenews.com\/files\/2014\/12\/Flooded_house_DVIDSHUB_800.jpg 800w, https:\/\/cdn.climatechangenews.com\/files\/2014\/12\/Flooded_house_DVIDSHUB_800-112x63.jpg 112w, https:\/\/cdn.climatechangenews.com\/files\/2014\/12\/Flooded_house_DVIDSHUB_800-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/cdn.climatechangenews.com\/files\/2014\/12\/Flooded_house_DVIDSHUB_800-600x337.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 800px) 100vw, 800px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-20279\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Flooded neighbourhood in the US state of Minnesota (Pic: DVIDSHUB\/Flickr)<\/p><\/div>\n<p><strong>By <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatenewsnetwork.net\/\" target=\"_blank\">Tim Radford\u00a0<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Global average temperatures continue to rise, but new research shows that the extremes of heat and cold are rising even faster.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Scientists report that heat waves have got hotter and cold snaps have got colder at a more extreme rate \u2013 and that continuing greenhouse gas emissions will mean that, in another two decades, Europe could experience once every two years the sort of lethal heat waves that occurred once in a thousand years.<\/p>\n<p>Scott Robeson, professor of geography at Indiana University Bloomington in the US, and colleagues report in Geophysical Research Letters that they analysed a set of temperature records from 1881 to 2011 and graded them according to how near or far they were from the normal averages of any particular region of the globe.<\/p>\n<p>They found that the temperature anomalies \u2013 extremes of heat and cold \u2013 increased more than the overall average temperature of the whole planet.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatechangenews.com\/2014\/12\/17\/2014-likely-to-be-europes-warmest-since-1500s\/\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>Report:<\/strong>\u00a02014 likely to be Europe\u2019s warmest since 1500s<\/a><\/p>\n<p>They also found that cold anomalies \u2013 unexpected ice storms, blizzards and big freezes \u2212 increased more than the warm anomalies until about 30 years ago. Since then, the heat waves have started to outpace the cold snaps.<\/p>\n<p>The study offers a new way to consider the much-debated \u201cpause\u201d in global warming since 1998. It could be that warming continued over most of the planet, but was offset by strong cooling in the winter months in the northern hemisphere.<\/p>\n<p>Professor Robeson says: \u201cThere really hasn\u2019t been a pause in global warming. There has been a pause in northern hemisphere winter warming.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAverage temperatures don\u2019t tell us everything we need to know about climate change. Arguably, these cold extremes and warm extremes are the most important factors for human society.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Robeson and his colleagues are not the first to identify the importance of extremes of temperature in the pattern of global averages. Nor is this the first time that UK Met Office scientists \u2013 this time led by Nikos Christidis \u2013 have forecast more, and more severe, heat waves, not just in Europe but in many regions.<\/p>\n<p>In 2004, Met Office researchers looked at statistics since 1990 and decided that the 2003 European heat wave \u2212 estimated to have claimed at least 20,000 lives, and possibly many more \u2212 had been made more than twice as likely because of human influence on the climate.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Pattern of warming\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In a paper in Nature Climate Change, they look at the pattern of warming between 2003 and 2012. In that period, summers on average warmed by 0.81C.<\/p>\n<p>This warming means, they say, that heat waves \u2212 and extreme heat waves such as the lethal event in 2003 \u2212 have become 10 times more likely.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cExtremely warm summers that would occur twice in a century in the early 2000s are now expected to happen twice a decade,\u201d Dr Christidis says.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cMoreover, the chances of heat waves as extreme as seen in 2003 have increased from about one in a thousand to about one in a hundred years, and are projected to occur once every other year by the 2030-40s under continuing greenhouse gas emissions.\u201d<\/p>\n<p><em>This article was produced by the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climatenewsnetwork.net\/\" target=\"_blank\">Climate News Network<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"NEWS: Lethal heat waves, ice storms and big freezes could become regular events if greenhouse gas emissions are not controlled","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[159,10],"tags":[27],"coauthors":[],"class_list":["post-20278","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-climate-science","category-research","tag-flooding"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v23.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Rise in weather extremes linked to climate change, say scientists<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"NEWS: Lethal heat waves, ice storms and big freezes could become regular events if greenhouse gas emissions are not controlled\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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